{"id":6681,"date":"2026-03-22T23:12:48","date_gmt":"2026-03-22T23:12:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/?p=6681"},"modified":"2026-03-22T23:12:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-22T23:12:48","slug":"bill-clinton-i-drejtohet-popullit-amerikan-me-fjalim-historik-ultimatumi-48-or%d1%91sh-i-trump-dhe-tre-skenar%d1%91t-e-tmerrsh%d1%91m-t%d1%91-dat%d1%91s-24-mars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/lajme\/bill-clinton-i-drejtohet-popullit-amerikan-me-fjalim-historik-ultimatumi-48-or%d1%91sh-i-trump-dhe-tre-skenar%d1%91t-e-tmerrsh%d1%91m-t%d1%91-dat%d1%91s-24-mars\/","title":{"rendered":"Bill Clinton i drejtohet popullit amerikan me fjalim historik: Ultimatumi 48-or\u0451sh i Trump dhe tre skenar\u0451t e tmerrsh\u0451m t\u0451 dat\u0451s 24 Mars"},"content":{"rendered":"

N\u00eb nj\u00eb moment kritik p\u00ebr gjith\u00eb globin dhe sigurin\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, ish-presidenti amerikan Bill Clinton d\u00ebrgon nj\u00eb mesazh p\u00ebr popullin amerikan, ku analizon politik\u00ebn e luft\u00ebs dhe ultimatumin 48-or\u00ebsh t\u00eb presidentit Donald Trump ndaj Iranit.<\/p>\n

Klinton me p\u00ebrvoj\u00ebn e tij t\u00eb gjat\u00eb si president dhe komandant i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i ushtris\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, paralajm\u00ebron p\u00ebr pasojat q\u00eb sjell ky vendim p\u00ebr demokracin\u00eb amerikane dhe stabilitetin nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar.<\/p>\n

Ai parashikon tre skenar\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb zymt\u00eb me mbylljen e dit\u00ebs s\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00eb, 23 Mars 2026, ora 23:44, pas skadimit t\u00eb nj\u00eb ultimatumi me pasoja historike.<\/p>\n

Mesazhi i\u00a0plot\u0451\u00a0i Bill Clinton:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kam par\u00eb mjaftuesh\u00ebm gjat\u00eb jet\u00ebs sime politike p\u00ebr ta njohur at\u00eb \u00e7ast kur nj\u00eb vend gjendet n\u00eb prag t\u00eb di\u00e7kaje q\u00eb ende nuk e kupton plot\u00ebsisht.<\/p>\n

Dhe sonte dua t\u2019ju flas hapur, tro\u00e7, sepse besoj se ndodhemi pik\u00ebrisht aty, sot.<\/p>\n

Shumica e njer\u00ebzve jan\u00eb zgjuar k\u00ebt\u00eb t\u00eb diel, m\u00eb 22 mars, duke menduar p\u00ebr familjet e tyre, p\u00ebr faturat e karburantit, ndoshta edhe p\u00ebr turneun e basketbollit. Dhe nuk i faj\u00ebsoj. Por nd\u00ebrsa ata flinin, presidenti i Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara publikoi nj\u00eb mesazh n\u00eb rrjetet sociale nga rezidenca e tij n\u00eb Florida, duke i dh\u00ebn\u00eb Iranit 48 or\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb rihapur plot\u00ebsisht Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit, p\u00ebrndryshe do t\u00eb p\u00ebrballej me shkat\u00ebrrimin e centraleve t\u00eb tij energjetike, duke nisur nga m\u00eb i madhi. K\u0451to ishin fjal\u0451t e tij.<\/p>\n

Kam qen\u00eb n\u00eb at\u00eb zyr\u00eb. Kam marr\u00eb vendime p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e forc\u00ebs ushtarake, vendime q\u00eb m\u00eb kan\u00eb l\u00ebn\u00eb pa gjum\u00eb dhe q\u00eb i mbaj me vete edhe sot. Prandaj nuk e them k\u00ebt\u00eb leht\u00eb. Ajo q\u00eb ndodhi mbr\u00ebm\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb thjesht nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr lajm i madh dhe as nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr postim i Donald Trumpit. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb vij\u00eb e kuqe e shpallur n\u00eb rrjetet sociale nga nj\u00eb president n\u00eb detyr\u00eb, n\u00eb mes t\u00eb nj\u00eb lufte t\u00eb paautorizuar q\u00eb ka hyr\u00eb tashm\u00eb n\u00eb jav\u00ebn e saj t\u00eb kat\u00ebrt.<\/p>\n

Kjo situat\u00eb mund t\u00eb prek\u00eb 90 milion\u00eb civil\u00eb iranian\u00eb, t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb naft\u00ebn mbi 150 dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr fu\u00e7i dhe ta t\u00ebrheq\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb rajonin n\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb q\u00eb askush nuk mund ta kontrolloj\u00eb. Por shqet\u00ebsimi im m\u00eb i madh \u00ebsht\u00eb ky: pyetja q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb \u00e7do amerikan nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebse Irani do ta hap\u00eb apo jo at\u00eb ngushtic\u00eb. Pyetja \u00ebsht\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb me ne, me institucionet tona, me ekonomin\u00eb ton\u00eb, me familjet pun\u00ebtore q\u00eb tashm\u00eb po paguajn\u00eb nj\u00eb dollar m\u00eb shum\u00eb p\u00ebr gallon benzine se nj\u00eb muaj m\u00eb par\u00eb, me pozit\u00ebn ton\u00eb n\u00eb bot\u00eb dhe me vet\u00eb Kushtetut\u00ebn. Sepse kur nj\u00eb demokraci shkon n\u00eb luft\u00eb, m\u00ebnyra se si shkon n\u00eb luft\u00eb ka po aq r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi sa arsyeja pse shkon. N\u0451 k\u0451t\u0451 moment, t\u0451 dyja jan\u0451 n\u0451 shum\u0451 rrezik.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr t\u00eb kuptuar pse ky ultimatum \u00ebsht\u00eb kaq i rreziksh\u00ebm, duhet t\u00eb kuptojm\u00eb si arrit\u00ebm deri k\u00ebtu. Kjo nuk lindi nga hi\u00e7i, edhe pse k\u00ebshtu mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb dukur. M\u00eb 6 shkurt, Irani dhe Shtetet e Bashkuara ndodheshin n\u00eb Gjenev\u00eb n\u00eb negociata t\u00eb t\u00ebrthorta, t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuara nga Omani, p\u00ebr nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje b\u00ebrthamore. Ishte diplomaci: puna e ngadalt\u00eb, e zymt\u00eb, q\u00eb nuk prodhon tituj t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj, por shp\u00ebton jet\u00eb. Un\u00eb e di, sepse e kam b\u00ebr\u00eb at\u00eb pun\u00eb p\u00ebr tet\u00eb vjet.<\/p>\n

Pastaj, m\u00eb 28 shkurt, nd\u00ebrsa bisedimet ishin ende n\u00eb vazhdim, Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe Izraeli nis\u00ebn at\u00eb q\u00eb e quajt\u00ebn \u201cOperacioni Epic Fury\u201d: afro 900 goditje brenda 12 or\u00ebve kund\u00ebr qyteteve iraniane, objektivave ushtarake, mbrojtjes ajrore dhe infrastruktur\u00ebs. Udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsi suprem Ali Khamenei u vra, djali i tij Mojtaba mori pushtetin dhe, brenda nat\u00ebs, kaluam nga diplomacia n\u00eb operacionin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh ushtarak amerikan n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme q\u00eb nga Lufta e Irakut.<\/p>\n

Dhe ja \u00e7far\u00eb nuk po ju thuhet: Kongresi nuk votoi kurr\u00eb p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb luft\u00eb. Dhoma e P\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesve u p\u00ebrpoq t\u00eb miratonte nj\u00eb rezolut\u00eb p\u00ebr kompetencat e luft\u00ebs m\u00eb 4 mars, por d\u00ebshtoi. Senati tentoi s\u00ebrish m\u00eb 18 mars, por republikan\u00ebt e bllokuan. Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se jemi tashm\u00eb n\u00eb jav\u00ebn e kat\u00ebrt t\u00eb nj\u00eb lufte q\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesit e popullit amerikan nuk e kan\u00eb autorizuar kurr\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Deri m\u00eb 4 mars, Irani kishte mbyllur Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit, rrug\u00ebn ujore nga ku kalon nj\u00eb e pesta e furnizimit bot\u00ebror me naft\u00eb. \u00c7mimet e karburantit u rrit\u00ebn ndjesh\u00ebm, nafta\u00a0Brent\u00a0kaloi 105 dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr fu\u00e7i dhe mbi 5 300 njer\u00ebz jan\u00eb vrar\u00eb, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 500 civil\u00eb. Vet\u00ebm dje, raketat iraniane godit\u00ebn jugun e Izraelit, duke plagosur mbi nj\u00ebqind persona, mes tyre edhe nj\u00eb djal\u00eb 10-vje\u00e7ar.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb mes t\u00eb gjith\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb dit\u00eb para ultimatumit, presidenti tha se lufta po shkonte drejt mbylljes. Nj\u00ebzet e kat\u00ebr or\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb, ai k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoi me shkat\u00ebrrimin e centraleve energjetike. Duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballemi me k\u00ebt\u00eb kontradikt\u00eb, sepse rruga q\u00eb na solli k\u00ebtu nuk ishte e pashmangshme. Ishte zgjedhje. Dhe zgjedhjet q\u00eb do t\u00eb b\u00ebhen tani do t\u00eb na p\u00ebrcaktojn\u00eb si komb.<\/p>\n

Le t\u00eb ndalemi tek vet\u00eb deklarata e presidentit, sepse fjal\u00ebt kan\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi, sidomos kur shoq\u00ebrohen me nj\u00eb num\u00ebrim mbrapsht drejt shkat\u00ebrrimit. Ai tha se n\u00ebse Irani nuk e hap plot\u00ebsisht Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit pa k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime brenda 48 or\u00ebsh, Shtetet e Bashkuara do t\u00eb godasin dhe do t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrrojn\u00eb centralet e tij energjetike, duke nisur nga m\u00eb i madhi. Postuar n\u0451 or\u0451n 23:44 t\u0451 s\u0451 shtun\u0451s mbr\u0451ma. Dhe num\u0451rimi mbrapsht mbaron mbr\u0451mjen e t\u0451 h\u0451n\u0451s.<\/p>\n

Kjo gjuh\u00eb ngre m\u00eb shum\u00eb pyetje sesa jep p\u00ebrgjigje. \u00c7far\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb konkretisht \u201cta hap\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht pa k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime\u201d? N\u00eb ato uj\u00ebra ka mina. Ka objekte bregdetare t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruara. Garda Revolucionare Islamike vazhdon t\u00eb jet\u00eb e pozicionuar n\u00eb zon\u00eb. Vet\u00eb komandant\u00ebt ushtarak\u00eb amerikan\u00eb kan\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb se aft\u00ebsia e Iranit p\u00ebr t\u00eb goditur anijet \u00ebsht\u00eb dob\u00ebsuar. Pra, a bazohet ky ultimatum n\u00eb realitetin ushtarak, apo n\u00eb di\u00e7ka krejt tjet\u00ebr?<\/p>\n

Dhe m\u00eb pas \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00eb objektivi i k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimit: centralet energjetike. Infrastruktura civile q\u00eb furnizon me energji 90 milion\u00eb njer\u00ebz, spitale, sisteme uj\u00ebsjell\u00ebsi, sht\u00ebpi ku jetojn\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb. Sipas Konventave t\u00eb Gjenev\u00ebs, goditja e objekteve t\u00eb domosdoshme p\u00ebr mbijetes\u00ebn e popullsis\u00eb civile ngre pik\u0451pyetje t\u00eb thella ligjore. Kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb baz\u00eb ushtarake. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb \u00e7el\u00ebsi i drit\u00ebs p\u00ebr nj\u00eb komb t\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Reagimi i Iranit ka qen\u00eb po aq alarmues: ushtria iraniane paralajm\u00ebroi se do t\u00eb godas\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebn energjetike dhe t\u00eb desalinizimit q\u00eb i p\u00ebrket Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara dhe aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb tyre n\u00eb rajon. Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb shtetet e Gjirit. Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb edhe objekte ku ndodhen t\u00eb stacionuara trupa amerikane.<\/p>\n

Dhe pik\u00ebrisht k\u00ebtu gj\u00ebrat b\u00ebhen edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikshme, sepse duket se ka nj\u00eb hendek real mes asaj q\u00eb komandant\u00ebt n\u00eb terren thon\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb arritur dhe asaj q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon ky ultimatum. Kur njer\u00ebzit q\u00eb drejtojn\u00eb luft\u00ebn dhe njeriu q\u00eb e komandon at\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn linj\u00eb, kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb forc\u00eb. \u00cbsht\u00eb konfuzion. Dhe konfuzioni n\u00eb \u00e7aste t\u00eb tilla vret njer\u0451z.<\/p>\n

Do tregohem i kujdessh\u0451m. E them k\u00ebt\u00eb me respekt p\u00ebr presidenc\u00ebn. Kam jetuar n\u00eb at\u00eb sht\u00ebpi. E kam mbajtur at\u00eb pesh\u00eb. Dhe e di se \u00e7do president p\u00ebrballet me momente kur t\u00eb gjitha opsionet jan\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebqija. Por di edhe di\u00e7ka tjet\u00ebr: m\u00ebnyra si merret vendimi ka pothuajse po aq r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi sa vet\u00eb vendimi. Dhe ajo q\u00eb pash\u00eb mbr\u00ebm\u00eb nuk ishte procesi i matur, institucional dhe i p\u00ebrgjegjsh\u00ebm q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon ky moment.<\/p>\n

Kur urdh\u00ebrova sulmet ndaj Irakut n\u00eb vitin 1998, u konsultova me ekipin tim t\u00eb siguris\u00eb komb\u00ebtare. Informova drejtuesit e Kongresit. Iu drejtova kombit nga Zyra Ovale. Kur vepruam n\u00eb Kosov\u00eb, nd\u00ebrtuam m\u00eb par\u00eb nj\u00eb koalicion. A ishin ato vendime t\u00eb debatueshme? Sigurisht. A pati njer\u00ebz q\u00eb nuk ran\u00eb dakord me mua? Pa asnj\u00eb dyshim. Por kishte proces. Kishte llogaridh\u00ebnie. Populli amerikan e dinte kush po merrte vendimin dhe pse.<\/p>\n

Shpallja e nj\u00eb ultimatumi 48-or\u00ebsh n\u00eb rrjetet sociale nga rezidenca e fundjav\u00ebs n\u00eb Florida, nj\u00eb dit\u00eb pasi deklaron se lufta po shuhet, pa konferenc\u00eb p\u00ebr shtyp, pa informim p\u00ebr Kongresin, pa nj\u00eb telefonat\u00eb p\u00ebr aleat\u00ebt q\u00eb varen nga ajo ngushtic\u00eb p\u00ebr 90 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb energjis\u00eb s\u00eb tyre, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00ebnyra si duhet t\u00eb veproj\u00eb nj\u00eb komandant i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n

Le t\u00eb flasim p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb l\u00ebkundje t\u00eb papritur. T\u00eb premten tha: \u201cpo i afrohemi objektivave\u201d. T\u00eb shtun\u00ebn mbr\u00ebma: \u201cdo t\u2019ju shkat\u00ebrrojm\u00eb rrjetin energjetik\u201d. \u00c7far\u00eb ndryshoi brenda 24 or\u00ebsh? \u00c7far\u00eb informacioni i ri doli? Apo nuk ndryshoi asgj\u00eb? E n\u00ebse nuk ndryshoi asgj\u00eb, at\u00ebher\u00eb kjo nuk ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me strategjin\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Kur isha president, edhe kur nuk isha dakord me Kongresin, e kuptoja se sistemi funksionon vet\u00ebm kur t\u00eb dy pushtetet q\u00ebndrojn\u00eb n\u00eb dialog. Rezoluta p\u00ebr Kompetencat e Luft\u00ebs e vitit 1973 ekziston pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr momente si ky. Fakti q\u00eb \u00e7do p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr ta aktivizuar at\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb bllokuar duhet t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsoj\u00eb \u00e7do amerikan, pa dallim partie. Sepse presidenti i ardhsh\u00ebm q\u00eb qeveris pa frena mund t\u00eb mos jet\u00eb ai p\u00ebr t\u00eb cilin keni votuar.<\/p>\n

Por kjo nuk ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb vet\u00ebm me Iranin. Ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me at\u00eb q\u00eb po i ndodh vet\u00eb mekanizmit t\u00eb demokracis\u00eb amerikane. Me institucionet q\u00eb na b\u00ebjn\u00eb ata q\u00eb jemi. Mendoni se \u00e7far\u00eb ka ndodhur: nj\u00eb vendim q\u00eb mund t\u00eb zhys\u00eb 90 milion\u00eb njer\u00ebz n\u00eb err\u00ebsir\u00eb, q\u00eb mund t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb goditje hakmarr\u00ebse n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Gjirin Persik dhe q\u00eb mund t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb \u00e7mimet e naft\u00ebs n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb paimagjinueshme, u shpall n\u00eb nj\u00eb platform\u00eb t\u00eb mediave sociale, jo nga\u00a0Salla e Situat\u00ebs, jo pas nj\u00eb mbledhjeje t\u00eb K\u00ebshillit t\u00eb Siguris\u00eb Komb\u00ebtare, jo n\u00eb koordinim me aleat\u00ebt, por n\u00eb\u00a0Truth Social,\u00a0nj\u00eb t\u00eb shtun\u00eb n\u00eb mbr\u00ebmje.<\/p>\n

Un\u0451 vet\u0451 nuk jam njeri q\u0451 tronditet kollaj. Por kjo duhet t\u00eb trondis\u00eb \u00e7do amerikan q\u00eb kujdeset p\u00ebr m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si qeveriset ky vend. Sepse kur vendimet p\u00ebr luft\u00eb dhe paqe merren n\u00eb rrjete sociale, nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb se po anashkalohet thjesht nj\u00eb hap procedural. Po i thuhet bot\u00ebs se institucionet q\u00eb kemi nd\u00ebrtuar p\u00ebr m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 250 vjet, kontrolli, balanca, dhe konsultimet, nuk kan\u00eb m\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi.<\/p>\n

Aleat\u00ebt tan\u00eb po e shikojn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Japonia dhe Koreja e Jugut varen n\u00eb mas\u00eb t\u00eb madhe nga nafta q\u00eb kalon p\u00ebrmes asaj ngushtice. Vendet evropiane q\u00eb q\u00ebndruan p\u00ebrkrah nesh pas 11 Shtatorit \u2014 Mbret\u00ebria e Bashkuar, Franca, Gjermania dhe Italia \u2014 nxor\u00ebn nj\u00eb deklarat\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt duke d\u00ebnuar mbylljen e Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit. Kjo duhej t\u00eb kishte sh\u00ebrbyer si baz\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb veprim t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt, p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koalicion t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb. N\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, edhe ata e mor\u00ebn vesh p\u00ebr ultimatumin nj\u00ebsoj si un\u00eb dhe ju: duke klikuar lajmet n\u0451p\u0451r telefonat e tyre.<\/p>\n

Kur punova me NATO-n gjat\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs, ne nuk binim dakord p\u00ebr gjith\u00e7ka. Por ngrinim telefonin, takoheshim, nd\u00ebrtonim di\u00e7ka s\u00eb bashku. Dhe pik\u00ebrisht sepse e b\u00ebm\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb, ai koalicion q\u00ebndroi. Sot, kur presidenti k\u00ebrc\u00ebnon nj\u00ebanshm\u00ebrisht dhe flet p\u00ebr aleat\u00ebt me p\u00ebr\u00e7mim, ai d\u00ebrgon nj\u00eb sinjal t\u00eb rreziksh\u00ebm jo vet\u00ebm te partner\u00ebt tan\u00eb, por edhe te Rusia, Kina dhe Koreja e Veriut: se vendimmarrja amerikane \u00ebsht\u00eb e paparashikueshme jo n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb strategjike, por n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb destabilizuese.<\/p>\n

Dhe kur kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt nuk mund t\u00eb parashikojn\u00eb m\u00eb si do t\u00eb sillemi, rreziku i llogaritjeve t\u00eb gabuara rritet ndjesh\u00ebm. Ne nuk po v\u00ebm\u00eb n\u00ebn presion vet\u00ebm politik\u00ebn ton\u00eb t\u00eb jashtme. Po g\u00ebrryejm\u00eb arkitektur\u00ebn q\u00eb e mban at\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Dua t\u00eb jem i sinqert\u00eb edhe p\u00ebr nj\u00eb gj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr, edhe pse disa mund t\u00eb ndihen n\u00eb siklet. Sa her\u00eb q\u00eb shoh nj\u00eb vendim q\u00eb nuk ka kuptim strategjik, kam m\u00ebsuar t\u00eb b\u00ebj nj\u00eb pyetje tjet\u00ebr: kujt i sh\u00ebrben? Para se t\u00eb niste kjo luft\u00eb, un\u00eb thash\u00eb publikisht se Benjamin Netanyahu e kishte k\u00ebrkuar prej koh\u00ebsh nj\u00eb p\u00ebrballje me Iranin, sepse sa koh\u00eb ka luft\u00eb, ka edhe arsye p\u00ebr t\u00eb q\u00ebndruar n\u00eb pushtet. Dhe k\u00ebt\u00eb e besoj ende.<\/p>\n

Kjo nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se Izraeli nuk p\u00ebrballet me k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime reale. P\u00ebrballet. Raketat q\u00eb godit\u00ebn dje Aradin dhe Dimon\u00ebn jan\u00eb reale. Djali 10-vje\u00e7ar n\u00eb spital \u00ebsht\u00eb real. Por pyetja n\u00ebse kjo luft\u00eb e caktuar, e nisur n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb, n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb koh\u00eb dhe me k\u00ebt\u00eb form\u00eb, i sh\u00ebrben siguris\u00eb s\u00eb popullit izraelit apo mbijetes\u00ebs politike t\u00eb kryeministrit t\u00eb tij, \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb pyetje q\u00eb meriton t\u00eb b\u00ebhet.<\/p>\n

K\u00ebtu n\u00eb vend, senatori Lindsey Graham po k\u00ebrkon heqjen e bazave amerikane nga vendet q\u00eb nuk bashk\u00ebpunojn\u00eb. Figura t\u00eb linj\u00ebs s\u00eb ashp\u00ebr brenda administrat\u00ebs po e paraqesin k\u00ebt\u00eb si nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi historike p\u00ebr nj\u00eb brez t\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, vet\u00eb presidenti \u00ebsht\u00eb i bllokuar. Ai tha se lufta po shkonte drejt p\u00ebrfundimit. Tani ka shpallur nj\u00eb ultimatum q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim.<\/p>\n

Si t\u00eb t\u00ebrhiqesh nga kjo pa u dukur i dob\u00ebt? Nuk mundesh. Dhe ky \u00ebsht\u00eb problemi me ultimatumet e b\u00ebra p\u00ebr lajme, e jo n\u00ebp\u00ebr dhomat e strategjis\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Por \u00e7mimin e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb nuk po e paguajn\u00eb ata q\u00eb po i marrin k\u00ebto vendime. Po e paguan familja n\u00eb Ohio q\u00eb po paguan nj\u00eb dollar m\u00eb shum\u00eb p\u00ebr gallon karburant p\u00ebr t\u00eb shkuar n\u00eb pun\u00eb. Po e paguan pronari i nj\u00eb biznesi t\u00eb vog\u00ebl q\u00eb po sheh koston e transportit t\u00eb rritet. Rritja e \u00e7mimit t\u00eb karburantit \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb taks\u00eb regresive: nuk godet t\u00eb gjith\u00eb nj\u00ebsoj. Godet m\u00eb fort ata q\u00eb kan\u00eb m\u00eb pak. Pik\u00ebrisht ata t\u00eb cil\u00ebve iu ishte premtuar leht\u00ebsim ekonomik.<\/p>\n

Efektet tashm\u00eb po ndihen: \u00e7rregullime n\u00eb zinxhir\u00ebt e furnizimit, rikthim i frik\u00ebs nga inflacioni, tregje t\u00eb pasigurta. T\u00eb pasurit do ta p\u00ebrballojn\u00eb. Ata n\u00eb fund t\u00eb shkall\u00ebs ekonomike do t\u00eb shtypen. Pra, po i jepet p\u00ebrpar\u00ebsi p\u00ebrfitimit politik nga nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrim i ashp\u00ebr ndaj Iranit, n\u00eb vend t\u00eb mir\u00ebqenies reale t\u00eb familjeve amerikane. Kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb forc\u00eb. \u00cbsht\u00eb zgjedhje. Dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb zgjedhja e gabuar.<\/p>\n

\u00c7far\u00eb ndodh kur ora t\u00eb mbaroj\u00eb? Sipas meje, ka tre skenar\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb parin, m\u00eb t\u00eb mundshmin, Irani pajtohet pjes\u00ebrisht: lejon disa anije tregtare t\u00eb kalojn\u00eb, ndoshta me kushte, por nuk e rihap plot\u00ebsisht dhe pa kushte ngushtic\u00ebn. Administrata shpall nj\u00eb fitore t\u00eb pjesshme, zgjat afatin n\u00eb heshtje dhe shpreson q\u00eb cikli i lajmeve t\u00eb ec\u00eb p\u00ebrpara. Kjo mund t\u00eb blej\u00eb pak koh\u00eb, por nuk zgjidh asgj\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb skenarin e dyt\u00eb, Irani nuk pajtohet dhe presidenti vepron. Goditjet amerikane shkat\u00ebrrojn\u00eb centrale energjetike n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Iranin. N\u00ebnt\u00ebdhjet\u00eb milion\u00eb njer\u00ebz mbeten pa energji. Spitalet mbesin n\u00eb err\u00ebsir\u00eb. Sistemet e ujit ndalojn\u00eb. Irani kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigjet jo vet\u00ebm kund\u00ebr Izraelit, por edhe kund\u00ebr infrastruktur\u00ebs energjetike dhe t\u00eb ujit n\u00eb gjith\u00eb Gjirin. Nafta jo thjesht rritet, por kap\u0451rcen 150 dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr fu\u00e7i. Dhe n\u00eb at\u00eb pik\u00eb nuk kemi m\u00eb nj\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb kufizuar, por nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthim rajonal pa dalje, pa koalicion dhe pa autorizim nga Kongresi.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb skenarin e tret\u00eb, afati kalon dhe nuk ndodh asgj\u00eb. Shtetet e Bashkuara nuk godasin. Dhe n\u00eb at\u00eb rast, besueshm\u00ebria amerikane, ajo q\u00eb mban n\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb \u00e7do aleanc\u00eb, \u00e7do strategji penguese, \u00e7do negociat\u00eb q\u00eb zhvillojm\u00eb n\u00eb bot\u00eb, merr nj\u00eb goditje shkat\u00ebrruese. Kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt e v\u00ebn\u00eb re. Aleat\u00ebt pyesin veten n\u00ebse fjala jon\u00eb ka ende pesh\u00eb.<\/p>\n

E v\u00ebrteta e hidhur \u00ebsht\u00eb se t\u00eb tre skenar\u00ebt e l\u00ebn\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn m\u00eb keq sesa ishte p\u00ebrpara atij postimi. Sepse ky ultimatum \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar si instrument politik, jo si instrument strategjik. Kur e fut veten n\u00eb nj\u00eb kuti me nj\u00eb afat q\u00eb e ke shpikur vet\u00eb n\u00eb rrjetet sociale, \u00e7do rrug\u00eb dalje duket si humbje.<\/p>\n

Ajo q\u00eb m\u00eb frik\u00ebson m\u00eb shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb kostoja njer\u00ebzore e skenarit t\u00eb dyt\u00eb dhe zbraz\u00ebtia strategjike e skenarit t\u00eb tret\u00eb, n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb. Sepse n\u00eb luft\u00eb, gj\u00ebrat nuk mbeten kurr\u00eb t\u00eb izoluara. Ato p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzohen.<\/p>\n

Pra, ku na l\u00eb kjo? Na l\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb moment vendimtar q\u00eb nuk i p\u00ebrket nj\u00eb njeriu t\u00eb vet\u00ebm, por t\u00eb gjith\u00ebve ne. U b\u00ebj thirrje t\u00eb gjith\u00eb amerikan\u00ebve, pa dallim partie, t\u2019u k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesve t\u00eb tyre t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb detyr\u00ebn kushtetuese: t\u00eb votojn\u00eb p\u00ebr autorizimin e luft\u00ebs, t\u00eb zhvillojn\u00eb d\u00ebgjesa publike, ta detyrojn\u00eb administrat\u00ebn t\u00eb shpjegoj\u00eb qart\u00eb objektivat, baz\u00ebn ligjore dhe strategjin\u00eb e daljes. Kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb partishm\u00ebri. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb republika q\u00eb funksionon si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar t\u00eb funksionoj\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 1991, p\u00ebrpara Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Gjirit, Senati votoi 52 me 47 p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e forc\u00ebs. Ishte nj\u00eb votim i ngusht\u00eb. Ishte p\u00ebr\u00e7ar\u00ebs. Senator\u00ebt dol\u00ebn dhe mbrojt\u00ebn argumentet e tyre pro dhe kund\u00ebr. Dhe pik\u00ebrisht sepse e b\u00ebn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb, kur trupat amerikane hyn\u00eb n\u00eb luft\u00eb, e b\u00ebn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb me pesh\u00ebn e plot\u00eb t\u00eb legjitimitetit demokratik pas tyre. K\u00ebshtu shkon nj\u00eb demokraci n\u00eb luft\u00eb, jo me nj\u00eb postim n\u00eb rrjetet sociale n\u00eb mesnat\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Duhet t\u00eb kujtojm\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rrezik n\u00eb terma njer\u00ebzor\u00eb. Mbi 5 300 njer\u00ebz kan\u00eb vdekur n\u00eb Iran, shum\u00eb prej tyre civil\u00eb. Mbi 100 izraelit\u00eb u plagos\u00ebn vet\u00ebm k\u00ebt\u00eb fundjav\u00eb. Ushtarak\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb ndodhen tani n\u00eb baza n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Gjirin, n\u00ebn k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin e kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigjes p\u00ebr nj\u00eb konflikt q\u00eb nuk e k\u00ebrkuan. Dhe familjet k\u00ebtu n\u00eb sht\u00ebpi po shohin \u00e7mimet e karburantit t\u00eb rriten pa fund, duke pyetur veten kur kjo do t\u2019ua p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsoj\u00eb jet\u00ebn, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u2019ua v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsoj\u00eb.<\/p>\n

E besoj me gjith\u00eb zem\u00ebr se forca dhe p\u00ebrmbajtja nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrta. Gj\u00ebja m\u00eb e fort\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb Amerika tani \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb veproj\u00eb p\u00ebrmes institucioneve t\u00eb saj, me aleat\u00ebt e saj, sipas ligjit, me objektiva t\u00eb qarta dhe me autoritet moral. Kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb dob\u00ebsi. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo lloj force q\u00eb bota e respekton v\u00ebrtet, sepse \u00ebsht\u00eb forca q\u00eb zgjat.<\/p>\n

Masa e nj\u00eb kombi t\u00eb madh nuk p\u00ebrcaktohet nga ajo q\u00eb mund t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrroj\u00eb, por nga ajo q\u00eb mund t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtoj\u00eb dhe nga ajo q\u00eb refuzon t\u00eb thyej\u00eb. Tani, ne po thyejm\u00eb gj\u00ebra. Disa p\u00ebrtej kufijve tan\u00eb, po. Por edhe disa brenda vet\u00eb demokracis\u00eb son\u00eb, gj\u00ebra q\u00eb do t\u00eb jen\u00eb shum\u00eb, shum\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira p\u00ebr t\u2019u rind\u00ebrtuar.<\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, ende besoj se mund ta b\u00ebjm\u00eb si duhet. E kam par\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb vend t\u00eb korrigjoj\u00eb kursin m\u00eb par\u00eb, ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb n\u00eb momentin e fundit. Besoj n\u00eb ndershm\u00ebrin\u00eb themelore dhe n\u00eb arsyen e sh\u00ebndosh\u00eb t\u00eb popullit amerikan. Prandaj kushtojini v\u00ebmendje. Flisni. Mbajini p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesit tuaj p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebs. Sepse kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb ende Amerika. Dhe historia ende nuk ka p\u00ebrfunduar.<\/p>\n

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N\u00eb nj\u00eb moment kritik p\u00ebr gjith\u00eb globin dhe sigurin\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, ish-presidenti amerikan Bill Clinton d\u00ebrgon nj\u00eb mesazh p\u00ebr popullin amerikan, ku analizon politik\u00ebn e luft\u00ebs dhe ultimatumin 48-or\u00ebsh t\u00eb presidentit Donald Trump ndaj Iranit. Klinton me p\u00ebrvoj\u00ebn e tij t\u00eb gjat\u00eb si president dhe komandant i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i ushtris\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, paralajm\u00ebron…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6681","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/IMG_1854.jpeg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6681","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6681"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6681\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6683,"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6681\/revisions\/6683"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6682"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/toolsyo.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}